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Rains have arrived in Brazil's main producing regions after a slow planting start. CONAB projects a record 166 million tonnes soybean crop, up 7.4% from the prior high, on a 2.8% increase in planted area and higher yields.
A record Brazilian crop and rising biodiesel blending under the Fuel of the Future bill support soybean oil and meal supply, while record exports reinforce Brazil's dominance and pressure global soy prices.
czapp.comGeraldo IsoldiNov 20, 2024After 363 past bearish weather events, Soybeans moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 118 past bearish weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.8% over 5 sessions (35% higher; middle half -3.2% to +0.4%), and -1.6% over 20.
After 184 past bullish weather events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
