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Almost all of Brazil's crop areas have received at least 300 mm of rain over the past three months, with Mato Grosso above 500 mm. Safras & Mercado projected a record 106 million tonnes of Brazil soybeans, 4 mmt above the latest USDA WASDE figure.
Abundant rain and a larger-than-USDA Brazil soy crop add to export supply competing with US beans, which is bearish for soybeans and soybean meal, while Brazil corn recovery after drought is a modest bearish factor for corn.
dtnpf.comBryce AndersonDec 16, 2016After 363 past bearish weather events, Soybeans moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 118 past bearish weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.8% over 5 sessions (35% higher; middle half -3.2% to +0.4%), and -1.6% over 20.
After 445 past neutral weather events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
