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The Nebraska CropWatch simulation for 2025 raised Corn Belt yield forecasts after cooler weather at season's end, with irrigated yields largely above trend and rainfed yields steady to stronger. The forecast covers 43 locations using the UNL Hybrid-Maize model.
The article is the final installment of a series on simulated crop stages.
Higher end-of-season yield estimates across the Corn Belt add to supply and reinforce a bearish tilt for corn prices, with feed buyers facing softer pricing ahead.
cropwatch.unl.eduSep 17, 2025After 357 past bearish weather events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 324 past neutral weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.7%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
