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A Midwest soybean field followed through the 2025 season faced delayed planting until mid-May, a cool spell in late May, and thin stands from poor germination. The field still produced a respectable yield because the plants branched and compensated.
Weather-driven stand losses in the eastern Corn Belt point to a somewhat tighter 2025 soybean supply, though the compensation effect limited the yield damage.
After 324 past neutral weather events, SOY moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.7%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.