
Excessive rainfall in Illinois and Nebraska has caused disease and yield concerns across the Midwest in 2025. Heat and rain swings have affected crops in several Corn Belt states.
The article describes conditions at farm show sites in Iowa, Nebraska and Illinois.
Localized yield losses from wet weather and disease are a modest supply risk, but they do not change the broader outlook. Prices would react only if losses spread across the region.
After 445 past neutral weather events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 324 past neutral weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.7%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.