
Soybeans settled 23 to 24 cents lower on August 13, 2024, with soymeal down $5.20 to $11.70 per ton and soyoil down sharply. USDA raised its US yield estimate to a record 53.2 bushels per acre and projected August 2025 ending stocks at 560 million bushels.
A record yield and large projected stocks signal ample US supply, pressuring soybean and product prices. Brazil's CONAB estimate, below USDA's, offers only limited offset.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
After 146 past bearish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.9%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.