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CME Black Sea wheat futures traded at all-time highs, with Australian wheat at its highest since May. Malaysian palm oil rose 34 ringgit on wet weather concerns and tighter virus curbs.
Forecasts showed dryness in Russia, Argentina, the U.S. Southern Plains and Brazil, and funds were near record longs in grains and soybeans.
Dry weather in key exporting regions and tight palm oil output raise feed and oilseed costs. Managed-money length adds upside risk if the USDA report or weather disappoints.
admis.comSteve FreedOct 7, 2020After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 181 past bullish weather events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.9%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
