
Crude palm oil futures on Bursa Malaysia closed higher on January 4, reaching their highest level since February 2011, with the March contract at 3,724 ringgit a tonne. Floods in Johor and Pahang, which together supply about 30% of Malaysian output, were expected to hit January and February production.
Strength on the Chicago Board of Trade also supported prices.
Flood-related output losses in a key producing region tighten near-term palm supply, pushing prices higher and raising feed fat costs.
After 181 past bullish weather events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.9%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Directly reports the Jan 4 rally to a decade high, with floods in Johor and Pahang (about 30% of output) threatening Jan-Feb supply, plus CBOT strength.
Jan 4 rally to the highest since 2011 was supported by floods in Johor and Pahang (about 30% of output) threatening January-February production, plus CBOT strength.