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ADM Investor Services says soybeans opened the week higher on forecasts of renewed heat in the Midwest for early August, when beans set pods. December soymeal fell $75.60 per ton from May highs and is near key support.
Corn prices strengthened on heat forecasts, and the EU cut its 2024 corn yield estimate to 7.24 tonnes per hectare.
Midwest heat in August poses a yield risk for soybeans, and the EU corn cut supports global corn demand for US exports, both supportive of prices.
admis.comADMIS Research TeamJul 22, 2024After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 453 past bullish weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
