Loading…
The USDA Prospective Plantings report showed fewer corn and soybean acres than expected, which lifted grain futures sharply. Live and feeder cattle futures fell after the grain rally, and cash fed cattle prices dropped.
Smaller corn and soybean acreage supports higher feed grain prices, which squeezes feedlot margins and lowers cattle values.
cattlecurrent.comWLIMar 31, 2018After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 144 past bearish report events, Live Cattle moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.1% to +0.9%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 126 past bearish report events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.0%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Grain rally after Prospective Plantings pushed live and feeder cattle futures lower and cash fed cattle dropped, directly describing the move.
The Prospective Plantings report lifted grain futures, raising feed cost expectations and pressuring feeder cattle futures.
