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The Bloomberg Grains Index reached a 17-month high after USDA cut its forecast for end-of-season US corn and soybean stocks. Soybean ending stocks were lowered by 100 million bushels to 190 million, and corn ending stocks fell by 465 million bushels to 1.7 billion, the lowest since 2013-14.
The cuts reflected harvest downgrades and stronger expected Chinese buying.
Sharply lower projected US ending stocks signal tight supplies and support higher corn and soybean prices into the new season. Feed buyers face higher input costs.
home.saxoOle HansenOct 13, 2020After 1,040 past bullish report events, CORN moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, SOY moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
