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Feeder cattle futures fell an average of $4.08 last week as a heavy calf run ahead of Thanksgiving pressured calf and feeder prices. The USDA Cattle on Feed report showed October feedlot placements up 10.19% from last year at 2.48 million head, though 2% below expectations.
Negotiated fed cattle traded $1 higher at $116/cwt live.
Heavy placements add expected cattle supply for the first half of next year, which weighs on feeder prices and feed demand outlook. Firm fed cash prices support finished-cattle values even as feeder prices soften.
cattlecurrent.comWLINov 22, 2019After 126 past bearish report events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.0%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 78 past neutral report events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.0%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
