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DTN analyst ShayLe Stewart reviews the December WASDE, which left beef price forecasts unchanged and raised 2022 beef production by 70 million pounds. The article suggests the spring 2023 cash cattle high could reach around $155.
Steady USDA beef price forecasts and a cash market under pressure suggest limited near-term upside, while tight supplies keep the outlook supportive.
After 78 past neutral report events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.0%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.