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Brent rose about 7.9% and WTI settled up 8.5% on Monday after Pfizer reported its experimental COVID-19 vaccine was more than 90% effective. Saudi Arabia also said the OPEC+ output cut deal could be adjusted to balance the market.
The vaccine news improved demand prospects, while the possibility of OPEC+ supply adjustments added to the case for tighter supply, both pointing to higher energy prices.
cnbc.comReutersNov 9, 2020After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 105 past bullish macro events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.4% to +1.8%), and +1.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine efficacy above 90% lifted expected demand recovery, driving Brent up about 7.9% on Nov 9, matching the move.
Crude jumped on vaccine efficacy results and Saudi comments on flexible OPEC+ cuts, supporting supply-tightening and demand optimism that lifted diesel.
