
The Canadian dollar hit its highest level since October 2018, touching 77.61 US cents, after the UK approved a coronavirus vaccine for emergency use. Oil also rose on reports that OPEC and Russia were nearing a deal to extend production cuts into February.
Expected OPEC+ supply restraint supports crude prices, and crude strength feeds into biofuel and energy-linked demand for vegetable oils and grains.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.