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Oil prices rallied sharply on Monday, with Brent up about 8% to $42.64 and WTI up about 9% to $40.55 after Pfizer and BioNTech announced high trial success rates for their COVID-19 vaccine. Refined products including gasoline, heating oil and gas oil rose at least 6.6%.
Traders expect the vaccine to end lockdowns and restore road and air travel, which would lift fuel demand and support diesel and crude prices, though the rally may be premature.
fortune.comKatherine DunnNov 9, 2020After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 105 past bullish macro events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.4% to +1.8%), and +1.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Directly reports refined products including heating oil and gas oil rising at least 6.6% on Pfizer vaccine demand-recovery hopes, matching the ULSD move.
Reports Brent up about 8% on vaccine hopes ending lockdowns, directly describing the demand-sentiment mechanism behind the move.
