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Commodity futures fell sharply after the USDA's August 10 crop production report, which was more optimistic than expected. The report put US soybean production at a record 4.38 billion bushels, and November soybean futures fell as much as 52 cents.
Arkansas corn, rice and sorghum production forecasts were lower.
A record US soybean crop estimate and higher yield expectations add ample supply to the market, pressuring soybean and corn prices. Buyers can expect lower feed costs in the near term.
uaex.uada.eduAug 18, 2017After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 87 past bearish report events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.4%), and +1.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
