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The US dollar sold off after softer-than-expected US inflation data, lifting EUR/USD and GBP/USD to multi-month highs while USD/CAD fell. The move reflected weaker dollar sentiment following the CPI release.
A broad dollar slump makes US commodity exports cheaper for foreign buyers and typically supports commodity prices, though the effect is a market-wide currency move rather than a supply shift.
ig.comChris BeauchampNov 15, 2023After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
It attributes the dollar selloff and the EUR/USD rise to the soft US CPI release, which is the same driver, but it is dated after the move and is a recap.
