
USDA's National Agricultural Statistics Service lowered Arkansas corn yield estimates by three bushels per acre to 190 and soybean yield by three bushels to 56 in its November report. Soybean pod counts are also down in six of the 11 major soybean states compared with 2025, with Kansas showing the largest drop.
Lower yield estimates in a major soybean state and falling pod counts tighten the supply outlook for soybeans and corn, which can support prices, though the effect from one state is limited.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.