Ukraine exported almost 9.9 million tonnes of wheat in the first ten months of 2026, 17.3% less than a year earlier, with export revenue down 18.6% to $2.135 billion. Egypt remains the largest buyer but its purchases fell to $529.6 million, while Algeria rose 17.7% to $509.8 million and nearly matched Egypt, with Indonesia third.
Lower Ukrainian wheat shipments, with October exports down 41%, tighten supply to key importers and add support to wheat prices, while Algeria's gain shows buyers shifting toward Ukrainian origin.
After 431 past bullish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.1%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.