
AgResource economist Dan Basse told a seed industry conference that Argentina, Brazil and Ukraine are on track for a record 57 percent share of global corn exports in 2019/20, while U.S. corn stocks remain large. He expects ABU market share to keep rising as weak South American currencies support their exports.
Growing competitor export share and large U.S. stocks cap U.S. corn demand and prices, while weak BRL and ARS sustain South American export competitiveness.
After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 16 past bullish trade events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.