
Agri-Pulse reports economists warn that long-term threats, including foreign competition, weaker US biofuel use and electric vehicles, could depress crop prices for years. A co-author says the trade war may permanently cost the US export share.
Expected structural demand loss and possible market share erosion point to weaker corn and soybean prices and pressure for higher farm spending.
After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.