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Donald Trump threatened tariffs on BRICS nations if they moved to replace the US dollar in trade, adding pressure on the Brazilian real. The real closed at R$6.06 per dollar after touching a record high of R$6.09, and the dollar index rose 0.60%.
Tariff threats and a stronger dollar raise the local cost of imported inputs for Brazil and weigh on Brazilian export competitiveness, supporting a firmer dollar against the real.
valorinternational.globo.comArthur Cagliari, Gabriel Caldeira, Maria Fernanda Salinet, Bruna FurlaniDec 3, 2024After 16 past bullish trade events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 45 past bullish trade events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.4%), and -0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
