
Fastmarkets analyst Regina Koh said at the IPOC 2026 conference in Bali that Indonesia produces about 50% of world palm oil and 53% of global exports. Biodiesel allocation rose from 6.6 million kilolitres in 2019 to 16.7 million kilolitres in 2026 as the B50 programme advanced.
Rising domestic biodiesel use absorbs a growing share of Indonesian palm oil, tightening exportable supply and supporting world palm oil prices heading into 2027.
After 548 past bullish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.