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The dollar traded slightly higher against the real on Friday as investors weighed the fiscal package, Brazilian and US activity data, and a Microsoft service outage that hit Outlook, Teams and Copilot. Spot dollar rose 0.21% to R$5.6624 by mid-morning.
Currency moves against the real affect Brazil's cost of imported inputs and the export competitiveness of its soybean and corn products.
After 92 past neutral macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.