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Analysts at ING expected the Brazilian central bank to cut the Selic rate by 75 basis points to a record low of 2.25% at its June 17 meeting. They said the key question was whether the bank would signal that further cuts were off the table.
Lower Brazilian rates weaken the real and can encourage farm sales in dollars, which affects the export competitiveness of Brazilian soy and corn.
think.ing.comJun 16, 2020After 92 past neutral macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
