
The Central Bank of Brazil's Monetary Policy Committee unanimously kept the Selic rate at 6.50%. The committee said recent economic activity data came in below expectations, while the economy remains on a gradual recovery path.
Its inflation projections assume the Selic ends 2019 at 6.5% and rises to 7.75% during 2020.
Steady policy with a rising rate path into 2020 signals tighter credit ahead for Brazilian livestock and feed operators. The direct effect on grain and meal prices is limited.
After 92 past neutral macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.