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Brazil's central bank deputy governor Diogo Guillen said the exchange rate is a bit higher than in July and that inflation expectations remain de-anchored. The comments followed the latest policy meeting.
Central bank commentary on a firmer real and inflation expectations signals the policy path that affects the currency and Brazilian commodity export competitiveness.
After 92 past neutral macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.