Loading…
Brazilian markets gained relief after Finance Minister Fernando Haddad said the economic team and the Chief of Staff's Office were aligned on expected spending cuts. U.S. Treasury yields rose toward recent highs, with the 10-year near 4.3%, and U.S. jobs data added to global volatility ahead of the U.S. election.
Fiscal credibility limits further real weakness, which keeps Brazilian export prices from falling further. Higher U.S. yields support the dollar, which generally weighs on dollar-denominated grain prices.
valorinternational.globo.comEduardo Magossi, Arthur Cagliari, Gabriela Caldeira, Bruna Furlani, Maria Fernanda SalinetOct 31, 2024After 92 past neutral macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
