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The euro dropped about 2% against the dollar, heading for its biggest daily fall since the 2020 COVID crisis, while European bonds gained. JPMorgan, ING and ABN AMRO said parity could return under Trump depending on tariff levels and tax cuts.
Euro weakness after the election reflects expectations of a stronger dollar and tighter Fed policy, which tends to pressure dollar-priced feed commodities and raise euro-zone import costs.
reuters.comYoruk Bahceli, Lucy RaitanoNov 6, 2024After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Reports the euro falling about 2% on Trump's win, with tariff exposure and rate expectations as drivers, confirming the move's size and cause.
The euro fell about 2% in a day on the Trump win, with bonds rallying on tariff-driven growth fears, which confirms the shock to the euro.
Euro fell about 2% against the dollar on the election, a major component of the broad dollar move.
