
The Reserve Bank of Australia's February 2025 Statement on Monetary Policy examines how financial markets have responded to US policy changes. It notes the US dollar has appreciated against other currencies, including the Australian dollar, and that US bond yields have risen.
It also highlights uncertainty over tariffs and how other countries will respond.
Stronger US rates and dollar tighten global financial conditions, which can raise the cost of importing feed and fertiliser for emerging markets. The tariff uncertainty flagged here adds downside risk to trade-exposed commodity demand.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.