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The ECB monetary policy meeting account notes a continued rise in US ten-year Treasury yields, mostly driven by real yields, and a sharp US equity correction. It also flags a notable rise in Italian sovereign yields and a measurable trade-dispute impact on emerging markets.
Higher US real yields and a firmer dollar pressure commodity prices and emerging-market currencies, which can weigh on feed import demand and commodity values.
ecb.europa.euEuropean Central BankNov 22, 2018After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
