
EUR/USD traded near 1.1050, close to its lowest level since May 2025, and is on track for a third straight weekly loss. US producer prices rose 0.3% month-on-month in October, below forecast, but markets kept pricing further Federal Reserve rate hikes.
A firmer US dollar and higher US rates raise the cost of imported feed ingredients for buyers paying in dollars and can weigh on US export competitiveness, a modest bearish pressure on dollar-priced grain and oilseed markets.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.