EUR/USD stayed below 1.0900 on June 13 as the dollar held firm after softer-than-expected US PPI and CPI data. The Fed kept rates at 5.25%-5.50% and signaled fewer cuts this year.
Fewer expected Fed cuts keep the dollar strong, which tends to weigh on dollar-denominated commodity exports and supports a stronger dollar index relative to grain prices.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.