Farmers not selling cereal, numbers not adding up, and more fallow land and sunflower

After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.

• Mar 30, 2020Ethanol Market Is Disturbing to American Farmers. And Now There's Covid-19.+3.6%
• Mar 5, 2025Declining crude oil and vegetable oil prices lower prices for sunflower seeds and oil in Ukraine+3.5%
• Jun 20, 2022Selling trend picks up in commodity markets-3.7%
• Aug 4, 2020Poultry farmers in India seeking $2.7 billion after virus scare-0.6%
• Sep 21, 2020U.S. grains: Wheat, soy, corn fall sharply on fund selling - Grainews-2.4%

After 69 past bearish macro events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.5% over 5 sessions (35% higher; middle half -2.6% to +0.8%), and -0.7% over 20.

• Jun 20, 2022Selling trend picks up in commodity markets-2.9%
• Sep 21, 2020U.S. grains: Wheat, soy, corn fall sharply on fund selling - Grainews-1.9%
• Sep 20, 2021After the Bell | September 20, 2021 - Pro Farmer-3.6%
• Mar 1, 2020Grains, like economy, trend lower on coronavirus concerns - Agweek | #1 source for agriculture news, farming, markets-0.1%
• May 31, 2023Canada Know-Risk Market Outlook | Ag Markets Lower on Weak Demand, Planting Progress, and Recession Concerns-3.2%

Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.