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Grain and oilseed futures fell broadly on May 31, with canola down 13 points, soybeans down 20 and wheat down 15 to 16. Traders are reacting to weak demand, margin call liquidation and concern about a recession in the second half of 2023, with crude oil and copper also weaker.
Broad commodity weakness and recession fears lower demand expectations for feed grains and meals, which points to softer feed input prices in the near term.
stonex.comCraig TurnerMay 31, 2023Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 69 past bearish macro events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.5% over 5 sessions (35% higher; middle half -2.6% to +0.8%), and -0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
