
Chicago soybeans rose $14.61 per tonne to $451.21 after the USDA's November WASDE raised the US crop estimate to 124.48 million tonnes but cut end-season stocks to 8.17 million tonnes, below trade expectations. Soybean oil and meal also gained, supported by expected higher exports to China.
Lower-than-expected US ending stocks tighten the soybean supply outlook, supporting soybean meal and oil prices that feed buyers pay for protein and fat ingredients.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 296 past bullish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.