The Jacobsen reported that USDA left soybean oil use in biodiesel production unchanged. It also said NOPA is expected to release October crush data the following week, with the crush likely the second highest monthly level on record.
A strong crush produces more soybean meal and oil, and growing renewable diesel demand supports soybean oil prices. Unchanged USDA biofuel usage estimates leave that demand outlook intact.
After 296 past bullish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.