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The euro fell to 1.1066 dollars on Thursday after recent losses, while the ECB reference rate was set at 1.1081. Trump's comments that the US did not need a deal with Iran lifted oil prices and US bond yields, supporting the dollar.
Higher oil prices and expectations of further US rate hikes strengthen the dollar, which pressures dollar-priced commodities and raises import costs for euro-zone feed buyers.
ad-hoc-news.deRafael MüllerNov 12, 2026After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
