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The rupee gave back early RBI-linked gains and fell to an all-time low near 95.45 per dollar on Monday. WTI rose above $102.50 on reports that the US could consider ground action in Iran.
Oil-driven rupee weakness raises India's import costs and can deter dollar-priced purchases of feed ingredients, while escalation supports energy prices.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.