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A Wisconsin meteorologist reports that a warmer-than-normal winter linked to El Niño could hurt crops in the state, with repeated freeze-thaw cycles threatening alfalfa, winter wheat and rye. Local farmers estimate a loss of 200 acres of alfalfa could cost about $200,000, and a dry winter could reduce spring soil moisture.
Winter damage to US alfalfa and winter cereals could tighten local hay and feed-grain supply next spring, supporting prices modestly. The effect is regional and localized rather than a national supply shock.
channel3000.comAlex HarringtonNov 12, 2026Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
