US grain futures fell sharply at the end of the week after a rally, with corn, soybeans and wheat all down from their prior daily close. Wheat had dropped about 60 US cents a bushel from its peak a week earlier.
Rains in South America boosted soil moisture in drought-hit parts of Brazil and Argentina, and heavy snow in Russia protected winter wheat.
Profit-taking combined with improved South American moisture and Russian winter wheat protection weighs on corn, soybean and wheat prices. Better crop prospects in key exporting regions reduce the risk premium built during the rally.
After 357 past bearish weather events, CORN moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 363 past bearish weather events, SOY moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 334 past bearish weather events, WHEAT moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.7%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.