The Arizona Department of Agriculture confirmed a sixth screwworm case, in a horse in Pearce, Cochise County, and declared three active response areas in Cochise, Greenlee and Graham counties. Movement restrictions and sterile fly releases are being used to contain the outbreak.
Expanding infested zones and movement restrictions in Arizona tighten livestock marketing and raise the risk of further restrictions on cattle and horses, supporting cattle prices.
After 148 past bullish disease events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.5% to +1.2%), and +1.4% over 20.
After 122 past bullish disease events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.