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APHIS confirmed a New World screwworm case in a 3-week-old calf in Zavala County, Texas. CME feeder cattle opened sharply lower, then pared losses and moved higher into positive territory.
Live cattle futures also gained.
Uncertainty about supply and movement restrictions is weighing on cattle prices, but the reversal shows the confirmation was partly priced in. Movement restrictions could tighten feeder supplies over the coming weeks.
expanamarkets.comCourtney ShumJun 4, 2026After 122 past bullish disease events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 148 past bullish disease events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.5% to +1.2%), and +1.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Describes the screwworm confirmation and feeder futures reversing an early slide into gains, consistent with the oversold market bouncing on supply concerns.
