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CME feeder cattle rallied after the first confirmed US screwworm case was identified in South Texas. August feeder cattle rose to 353.375 cents per pound and live cattle rose to 241.525 cents per pound after multi-month lows earlier in the session.
Lean hog futures slipped.
The rally suggests traders focused on the potential for lower US cattle supply rather than demand fears. A possible outbreak could cost Texas up to $1.8 billion, keeping cattle prices sensitive to new cases.
thecattlesite.comMelanie EppJun 5, 2026After 122 past bullish disease events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 148 past bullish disease events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.5% to +1.2%), and +1.4% over 20.
After 117 past bearish disease events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.6%), and +1.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Confirms CME feeder futures rallied on the first US screwworm case after multi-month lows, a supply-risk and short-covering dynamic.
