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USDA’s Economic Research Service raised its 2026 U.S. corn production-cost forecast to $956.65 per acre and projects costs of $983.73 in 2027. Higher fertilizer costs drove most of the revision, with 2026 fertilizer estimates also rising for soybeans, wheat, sorghum and barley.
Higher input costs can squeeze crop margins and, if sustained, discourage production, potentially tightening feed-grain and oilseed supply. The story describes cost forecasts rather than a direct supply change, so any price effect is limited.
feedandgrain.comFeed, Grain StaffNov 11, 2026After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
