
By November 10, Ukrainian farmers had harvested 47 million tonnes of grain from 9.16 million hectares, or 78.9% of the projected area, at an average yield of 51.4 quintals per hectare. The combined sunflower, soybean and rapeseed harvest was nearly 18 million tonnes; reported totals included 26.26 million tonnes of wheat, 6.60 million tonnes of barley and 10.71 million tonnes of sunflower.
The reported harvest adds evidence of available Ukrainian grain and oilseed supply, which may ease regional supply concerns and weigh on prices. The price effect depends on how much of the crop can reach export markets.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.