Brent up 4% as U.S. said to send more troops to Mideast, resume bombing Iran By Investing.com

After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.

• Aug 30, 2026Oil settles up by more than 2.5% as US and Iran resume military attacks | Reuters+10.8%
• Oct 29, 2026Oil dips as traders weigh Iran diplomacy against renewed strike risks By Investing.com-5.4%
• Jan 23, 2026Oil Prices Rebound as Trump’s Iran Armada Rhetoric Revives Supply Fears | Investing.com+9.4%
• Oct 1, 2026Oil prices rise as U.S. reportedly prepares to send third carrier to Mideast+2.6%
• May 22, 2026Oil Prices Rise as Iran Draws Red Line on Uranium | Investing.com-11.3%

After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.

• Aug 30, 2026Oil settles up by more than 2.5% as US and Iran resume military attacks | Reuters+9.6%
• Oct 29, 2026Oil dips as traders weigh Iran diplomacy against renewed strike risks By Investing.com-2.3%
• Jan 23, 2026Oil Prices Rebound as Trump’s Iran Armada Rhetoric Revives Supply Fears | Investing.com+9.6%
• Oct 1, 2026Oil prices rise as U.S. reportedly prepares to send third carrier to Mideast-2.3%
• May 22, 2026Oil Prices Rise as Iran Draws Red Line on Uranium | Investing.com-9.1%

After 250 past bullish geopolitics events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +1.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -3.6% to +8.7%), and +0.9% over 20.

• Oct 1, 2026Oil prices rise as U.S. reportedly prepares to send third carrier to Mideast-3.7%
• Jan 29, 2026Crude Prices Surge as President Trump Ramps Up Pressure on Iran-4.2%
• Mar 20, 2026Oil jumps to highest settlement since July 2022 as more Mideast supply disrupted | Reuters-1.8%
• Sep 29, 2018Brent hits 4-year high as U.S. sanctions on Iran tighten supply+1.6%
• Apr 2, 2026WTI Crude Oil Jumps 51% in a Month on Iran War Supply Shock | Investing.com-2.9%