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Asian diesel markets softened as timespreads and cash premiums fell and ICE gasoil weakened. Traders expect China-origin diesel exports to rise in December to around 600,000 metric tons, above earlier estimates, and refining margins dropped to about $24 per barrel.
Higher Chinese export expectations add supply to Asian markets and weigh on diesel prices. Lower refining margins can reduce refinery runs and reduce the pull on crude.
worldports.orgAkira NakamuraNov 25, 2025After 28 past bearish trade events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -5.0% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Weaker Asian diesel timespreads, cash premiums and higher expected Chinese exports signal growing supply, pressuring global diesel prices.
