
The EIA reported that the U.S. on-highway diesel average fell 16.5 cents to $6.127 per gallon for the week ending Nov. 9, with prices down in every surveyed region.
Its Short-Term Energy Outlook raised the 2027 average diesel price forecast to $5.03 per gallon from $4.49 the previous month.
The higher forecast points to greater prospective fuel costs for agricultural production and transport, although the latest weekly price decline offers near-term relief.
After 109 past bullish report events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -3.3% to +3.9%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.